claude-trades-100

Phase 2 · two agents · claude-sonnet-4-6 / claude-haiku-4-5 · Binance Brasil

Two Claude agents, R$500 each, 30 days, side by side.

A1 v2 trades the majors on a 15-minute cadence. A2 trades an open universe — the top-15 most-liquid BRL pairs by 24h volume — on a 15-minute cadence with explicit fee-awareness. Same news feed, different strategies.

A1 v2

R$ 490.87

-3.29% net (R$ 9.13)

Trades

182

Win rate

43%

Anthropic

$37.52

A2

R$ 493.76

-2.03% net (R$ 6.24)

Trades

157

Win rate

46%

Anthropic

$20.05

Side-by-side scorecard

30 days × 2 agents is nowhere near statistical significance. Treat this as a demo of two trading approaches, not a comparison of strategies.

MetricA1 v2A2
Net P&L %-3.29%-2.03%
Gross P&L %-1.83%-1.25%
Fees paidR$ 7.34 (1.47%)R$ 3.89 (0.78%)
Max drawdown3.89%2.53%
Trades182157
Win rate43%46%
Avg winR$ 2.21R$ 1.17
Avg lossR$ -1.70R$ -0.80
Daily Sharpe-0.07-0.07
Regime transitions00
Days in each regimenorm:20.8norm:20.8
Anthropic cost$37.52$20.05

Account value, both agents

daily marks

A1 v2 · regime timeline

2000 ticks · 0 transitions
normalaggressive_defensivedefensivepreservationhalted

A2 · regime timeline

2000 ticks · 0 transitions
normalaggressive_defensivedefensivepreservationhalted

A1 v2 · risk-block reasons

64 blocks · 3% of 2000 decisions
  • single_asset_cap45

    buy would push SOLBRL position to R$340.82, over 40% cap (R$196.33)

  • cooldown13

    buy cooldown active on SOLBRL

  • fee_floor3

    target gain 44.7bps below floor 50bps (2×10 fee + 5 spread + 25 edge)

  • other3

A2 · risk-block reasons

91 blocks · 5% of 2000 decisions
  • sell_oversize36

    sell notional R$98.55 exceeds SOLBRL position value R$0.02

  • streak_halt24

    streak halt active: 3 consecutive net-negative trades [R$-0.25, R$-0.28, R$-0.26] — 20 min remaining

  • min_notional17

    notional R$0.23 below R$10 minimum

  • other14

Anthropic spend (USD)

Per-agent tick models · Opus for daily recaps

A1 v2

$37.52

A2

$20.05

Per-tick: A1 v2 on Claude Sonnet 4.6 at $3 / $15 per M in/out; A2 on Claude Haiku 4.5 at $1 / $5 per M in/out. Daily recaps: Claude Opus 4.7 at $15 / $75 per million.