claude-trades-100

Phase 2 · 2026-05-242026-06-23

About this experiment

Two autonomous Claude agents trade R$500 each on Binance Brasil for 30 days. Same model, same news feed, different strategies. A1 v2 trades majors on a 15-minute cadence. A2 trades a mid-cap basket on a 10-minute cadence with explicit fee-awareness.

Day

2 / 30

29d remaining

A1 balance

R$ 505,40

from R$ 500,00

A1 P&L (net)

+1.04%

+R$ 5,40 gross

Trades

5

100% win rate

Mission

Two autonomous Claude-powered agents trade R$500 each on Binance Brasil. A1 v2 rotates BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, USDT on a 15-minute cadence — the same major-pair universe Phase 1 used, with a patched 5-band capital-relative regime ladder, news + sentiment input, and a code-enforced minimum-edge floor on every buy. A2 trades a different mid-cap basket on a 10-minute cadence with smaller per-position size, max horizon 6 hours, and the same fee floor. Same model (claude-sonnet-4-6), same news feed; any P&L delta is attributable to strategy and universe.

Phase 2 follows Phase 1's bounded-experiment discipline: every decision is logged, every trade is published, every mid-phase change is timestamped in PHASE_2_OBSERVATIONS.md.

Constraints

Intervention

Zero. No added funds, no tips, no manual trades. If anything is adjusted mid-phase, it's logged in the observations doc with a timestamp + commit SHA.

End condition

30 days mark-to-market. No force-liquidate at the end — open positions just stop being managed.

Transparency

Every decision row carries Claude's full rationale, a structured input snapshot, the model used, the input/output tokens, and the USD cost. Every trade row carries the fee paid and the slippage in basis points.

Risk rules (A1 v2)

All enforced in code — Claude can request a violation, but the agent rejects and logs it.

RuleThreshold
Cash floor (BRL + USDT)≥ 15% of portfolio
Single non-stablecoin cap≤ 40% of portfolio
Max single buy (normal)≤ 30% of portfolio
Max single buy (aggressive_defensive)≤ 18%
Max single buy (defensive)≤ 12%
Min order sizeR$ 10 notional
Same-asset buy cooldown40 min
Sell → re-entry cooldown20 min
Round-trip fee floor≥ 50 bps target gain (10bps fee × 2 + 5bps spread + 25bps edge)
Aggressive_defensive regimecapital ratio 0.35–0.50
Defensive regimecapital ratio 0.25–0.35
Preservation regimecapital ratio 0.05–0.25 (no buys)
Halt + force-liquidatecapital ratio < 0.05

Risk rules (A2)

Same 5-band ladder shape, but tighter on positioning + a daily loss floor and a streak halt that the tier ladder doesn't catch.

RuleThreshold
Cash floor (BRL + USDT)≥ 10% of portfolio
Single non-stablecoin cap≤ 25% of portfolio
Max single buy (normal)≤ 25% of portfolio
Same-asset buy cooldown10 min
Daily realized-loss floor−3% of starting capital
Streak halt3 consecutive net-negative trades → 2h pause
Max horizon6 hours per position

Not financial advice. Not a product endorsement. A bounded run with full transparency. Don't copy this code for your own account without reading every line of apps/agent/src/risk.ts (and risk-b.ts once Plan 07 lands).

Author

Built and maintained by Karina Borges. The agents were designed in collaboration with Claude Opus 4.7.